Probabilidades

É o último passo para quem realmente quer dominar o Texas Hold'Em. Assim que o básico for assimilado, o jogador terá que aprender a testar suas chances desde o início de cada jogo. O poker não pode ser improvisado. Para vencer, o jogador deve entender e considerar todos os fatores que entram em jogo. Embora as cartas sejam sorteadas aleatoriamente, a mão que um jogador recebe depende de vários elementos. Isso inclui o número de jogadores e até a posição do jogador em relação ao dealer.

Um bom jogador, com sua mão inicial, deve ter uma idéia das combinações que ele pode obter e organizar seu jogo de acordo.

Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pré-FlopProbabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pós-FlopMelhores odds do Texas Hold'emProbabilidades e Outs do Texas Hold'em
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Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pré-Flop

Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pré-Flop

O jogo começa assim que as cartas são distribuídas e bem antes de serem entregues. É muito raro receber uma boa mão no início do jogo. Portanto, o jogador não deve esperar um milagre. Aqui estão algumas probabilidades a serem consideradas.

As chances de obter um par de A, J, K ou Q são de 55: 1. As chances de conseguir um Ás e um Rei (AK) são 82: 1. As probabilidades de terminar com cartas do mesmo naipe são 3,2: 1. As chances de começar com um bolso par são 16: 1. As chances de receber dois valetes são 10: 1. É aconselhável definir uma estratégia aproximada.

Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pré-Flop
Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pós-Flop

Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pós-Flop

Essas probabilidades mudarão conforme o croupier negociar as cartas comuns. Mas o jogador deve ter em mente que as probabilidades não representam um cenário específico. A projeção matemática é uma previsão excepcionalmente otimista que nem sempre concorda com a realidade. Portanto, ao recalcular as chances e estabelecer uma estratégia, deve-se prestar atenção à atmosfera na sala e estabelecer limites.

Não se pode excluir que as cartas que o jogador precisa desesperadamente estão na posse de seus oponentes ou, pior, foram / foram descartadas por seus oponentes. As chances de um flush com cartas do mesmo naipe são 118: 1, enquanto as chances de um flush com qualquer par são de 2: 1.

Probabilidades do Texas Hold'em: Estratégia Pós-Flop
Melhores odds do Texas Hold'em

Melhores odds do Texas Hold'em

Não existe uma situação perfeita, pois é raro que todos os fatores do jogo estejam alinhados com as previsões matemáticas. No entanto, nada é perdido, mantendo-os em mente.

O jogador tem um pouco mais de 32% de formar pelo menos um par com várias cartas, mas as chances de criar dois pares com as mesmas cartas diferentes são de cerca de 12%. A probabilidade de formar um flush quando você tem quatro boas cartas é de 19%. As chances de transformar dois pares em um full house são de 8,5%.

Se o jogador terminar com uma combinação potencialmente vencedora e se as condições parecerem favoráveis, ele poderá arriscar.

Melhores odds do Texas Hold'em
Probabilidades e Outs do Texas Hold'em

Probabilidades e Outs do Texas Hold'em

É impossível calcular as probabilidades sem os outs. Qualquer carta com a qual o jogador forma uma mão é considerada uma saída. Cada placa tem 13 cartas do mesmo naipe. Portanto, para calcular as probabilidades, o jogador terá que ter uma idéia das cartas que foram distribuídas.

Se um jogador tem uma mão de quatro clubes, nove permanecem no jogo. Teoricamente, se o jogador deseja formar um flush, ele terá que retirar uma das nove das 47 cartas restantes (52 cartas - duas primeiras cartas + três cartas no flop). As chances de fazer um flush serão 9/47, cerca de 19%.

Probabilidades e Outs do Texas Hold'em
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